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Appendix L: Renormalisation Group Analysis, Beta Functions, and UV Stability

1. Purpose and Scope

A critical requirement for any Effective Field Theory (EFT) to be taken seriously is a demonstration that its free parameters do not flow to unphysical or divergent values under renormalisation group (RG) evolution. This appendix provides:

  1. The one-loop beta functions for the three principal MCE parameters: κ\kappa, CQFTC_{\text{QFT}}, and λc\lambda_c.
  2. A fixed-point analysis demonstrating the existence of a UV Gaussian fixed point.
  3. A demonstration that the exponential non-local regulator (Appendix D) makes all loop integrals UV-finite, rendering the beta functions well-defined.
  4. Bounds on how far parameters run between the EFT cutoff ΛEFT1010\Lambda_{\text{EFT}} \sim 10^{10} eV and the experimental scale μexp1\mu_{\text{exp}} \sim 1 eV, confirming that parameter values used in predictions are stable.

2. RG Framework for MCE

2.1. The MCE Action in Dimensional Regularisation Form

The MCE action, expressed in d=42εd = 4 - 2\varepsilon dimensions (for dimensional regularisation bookkeeping, even though the exponential regulator renders all integrals finite in d=4d=4), is:

SMCE=ddxg[MPl22R12Zϕ(μϕ)212Zmmϕ2ϕ2ZκκϕT14ZAFμνEMEFEMEμν+LM]S_{\text{MCE}} = \int d^dx \sqrt{-g} \left[ \frac{M_{\text{Pl}}^2}{2} R - \frac{1}{2} Z_\phi (\partial_\mu \phi)^2 - \frac{1}{2} Z_m m_\phi^2 \phi^2 - Z_\kappa \kappa \phi T - \frac{1}{4} Z_A F_{\mu\nu}^{\text{EME}} F^{\mu\nu}_{\text{EME}} + \mathcal{L}_M \right]

The wave-function renormalisation factors ZϕZ_\phi, ZmZ_m, ZκZ_\kappa, ZAZ_A capture the quantum corrections. The RG equations for the physical parameters are derived from the requirement that the renormalised action is μ\mu-independent:

μddμ(ZXXbare)=0\mu \frac{d}{d\mu} \left( Z_X \, X_{\text{bare}} \right) = 0

2.2. Exponential Regulator and Loop Finiteness

With the exponential non-local regulator K()=e/Λ2/(+mϕ2)K(\square) = e^{-\square/\Lambda^2} / (\square + m_\phi^2), the propagator in Euclidean space is:

DE(pE)=epE2/Λ2pE2+mϕ2D_E(p_E) = \frac{e^{-p_E^2/\Lambda^2}}{p_E^2 + m_\phi^2}

Every one-loop integral has the generic form:

In=d4pE(2π)4[DE(pE)]nN(pE)[denominator]0dpEpE4n1enpE2/Λ2(polynomial in pE)I_n = \int \frac{d^4 p_E}{(2\pi)^4} \frac{[D_E(p_E)]^n \cdot \mathcal{N}(p_E)}{[\text{denominator}]} \sim \int_0^\infty dp_E \, p_E^{4n-1} \, e^{-np_E^2/\Lambda^2} \cdot \text{(polynomial in } p_E \text{)}

The Gaussian factor enpE2/Λ2e^{-np_E^2/\Lambda^2} causes every such integral to converge at the upper limit for any n1n \ge 1. Specifically, the logarithmic divergence characteristic of four-dimensional scalar QFT — d4p/p4logΛUV\int d^4p / p^4 \sim \log\Lambda_{\text{UV}} — is replaced by:

Ilog0dpEpE3pE4epE2/Λ2=12E1(mϕ2Λ2)12lnΛ2mϕ2I_{\text{log}} \sim \int_0^\infty dp_E \, \frac{p_E^3}{p_E^4} \, e^{-p_E^2/\Lambda^2} = \frac{1}{2} E_1\left(\frac{m_\phi^2}{\Lambda^2}\right) \approx \frac{1}{2} \ln\frac{\Lambda^2}{m_\phi^2}

where E1E_1 is the exponential integral. This is finite for all mϕ>0m_\phi > 0 and Λ<\Lambda < \infty. The quadratic divergence d4p/p2ΛUV2\int d^4p / p^2 \sim \Lambda_{\text{UV}}^2 becomes 0pEepE2/Λ2dpE=Λ2/2\int_0^\infty p_E \, e^{-p_E^2/\Lambda^2} \, dp_E = \Lambda^2/2, which is a finite threshold correction rather than a true divergence. There is no renormalon ambiguity.

Conclusion: In the MCE EFT with exponential regulator, all renormalisation group equations are defined without the need for dimensional regularisation subtraction beyond the finite threshold corrections at the scale Λ\Lambda. The beta functions computed below are therefore scheme-independent at one loop.


3. One-Loop Beta Functions

3.1. Beta Function for κ\kappa (Gravitational Coupling)

The running of κ\kappa is governed by the anomalous dimension of the ϕT\phi T vertex. At one loop, the dominant contribution comes from the scalar self-energy diagram (single loop of virtual scalar quanta):

Σϕ(p2)=κ216π201dxmϕ2lnmϕ2+x(1x)p2Λ2e[loop momentum]2/Λ2\Sigma_\phi(p^2) = \frac{\kappa^2}{16\pi^2} \int_0^1 dx \, m_\phi^2 \, \ln\frac{m_\phi^2 + x(1-x)p^2}{\Lambda^2} \cdot e^{-[\text{loop momentum}]^2/\Lambda^2}

After performing the regulated integral, the beta function is:

βκμdκdμ=κ312π2(1mϕ2Λ2)emϕ2/Λ2\beta_\kappa \equiv \mu \frac{d\kappa}{d\mu} = \frac{\kappa^3}{12\pi^2} \left(1 - \frac{m_\phi^2}{\Lambda^2}\right) e^{-m_\phi^2/\Lambda^2}

For mϕΛm_\phi \ll \Lambda (which holds throughout the EFT validity range since mϕ1010m_\phi \sim 10^{10} eV Λ1010\lesssim \Lambda \sim 10^{10} eV at the boundary, and mϕΛm_\phi \ll \Lambda well below the cutoff):

βκκ312π2\beta_\kappa \approx \frac{\kappa^3}{12\pi^2}

Running of κ\kappa: Solving μdκ/dμ=κ3/(12π2)\mu d\kappa/d\mu = \kappa^3 / (12\pi^2):

1κ2(μ)=1κ2(Λ)16π2lnμΛ\frac{1}{\kappa^2(\mu)} = \frac{1}{\kappa^2(\Lambda)} - \frac{1}{6\pi^2} \ln\frac{\mu}{\Lambda}

Between μ=ΛEFT1010\mu = \Lambda_{\text{EFT}} \sim 10^{10} eV and μexp1\mu_{\text{exp}} \sim 1 eV (a factor of 101010^{10} in energy), the logarithm is ln(1010)23\ln(10^{10}) \approx 23. The fractional change in κ2\kappa^2 is:

Δ(κ2)κ2=κ2×23/(6π2)1(1.623×1010)2×23/(6π2)1\frac{\Delta(\kappa^2)}{\kappa^2} = \frac{\kappa^2 \times 23 / (6\pi^2)}{1} \approx \frac{(1.623 \times 10^{-10})^2 \times 23 / (6\pi^2)}{1}

Since κ1010\kappa \sim 10^{-10} C/kg and the beta function coefficient is 1/(12π2)8.4×103\sim 1/(12\pi^2) \approx 8.4 \times 10^{-3}, the fractional running is:

Δκκκ212π2lnΛμexp(8.4×103)×(1.623×1010)2×235×1024\frac{\Delta \kappa}{\kappa} \approx \frac{\kappa^2}{12\pi^2} \ln\frac{\Lambda}{\mu_{\text{exp}}} \approx (8.4 \times 10^{-3}) \times (1.623 \times 10^{-10})^2 \times 23 \approx 5 \times 10^{-24}

The running of κ\kappa over the entire EFT validity range is negligible at any foreseeable experimental precision (fractional change 1024\sim 10^{-24}). This is a direct consequence of the smallness of κ\kappa itself — the gravitational coupling is intrinsically weak, and weak couplings run slowly.

Physical interpretation: The gravitational coupling κ\kappa is stable across all experimentally accessible energy scales. There is no Landau pole below the Planck scale.

3.2. Beta Function for CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} (Material Dependence Coefficient)

CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} is the dimensionless constant in the material-dependent factor δ(Z,A)\delta(Z,A). It arises from a second-order QFT loop correction involving the neutron-proton mass difference. The relevant diagram involves a loop of virtual pions (the carriers of the residual nuclear force, since the neutron-proton mass difference is driven by QCD + QED effects at the nuclear scale μQCD200\mu_{\text{QCD}} \sim 200 MeV).

At scales μ<μQCD\mu < \mu_{\text{QCD}}, CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} is determined by non-perturbative QCD and is therefore a fixed number at the hadronic matching scale. Above μQCD\mu_{\text{QCD}}, the relevant degrees of freedom are quarks and gluons, and CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} receives small perturbative corrections from QCD running:

βCQFT=μdCQFTdμ=αs(μ)2πγCCQFT\beta_{C_{\text{QFT}}} = \mu \frac{dC_{\text{QFT}}}{d\mu} = \frac{\alpha_s(\mu)}{2\pi} \gamma_{C} \cdot C_{\text{QFT}}

where γC\gamma_C is the anomalous dimension of the relevant quark bilinear operator. Using αs(mZ)0.118\alpha_s(m_Z) \approx 0.118 and γC2\gamma_C \approx -2 (typical for scalar operators in QCD):

ΔCQFTCQFTμQCDΛEFT=αs2π×γC×lnΛEFTμQCD0.1182π×(2)×ln10102×1080.037×3.914%\frac{\Delta C_{\text{QFT}}}{C_{\text{QFT}}} \bigg|_{\mu_{\text{QCD}}}^{\Lambda_{\text{EFT}}} = \frac{\alpha_s}{2\pi} \times \gamma_C \times \ln\frac{\Lambda_{\text{EFT}}}{\mu_{\text{QCD}}} \approx \frac{0.118}{2\pi} \times (-2) \times \ln\frac{10^{10}}{2 \times 10^8} \approx -0.037 \times 3.9 \approx -14\%

This is a measurable running: CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} at the experimental scale (μμQCD\mu \sim \mu_{\text{QCD}}) may differ from its value at the UV cutoff by approximately 14%. This is an important correction that must be included when comparing the theoretically predicted CQFT0.03C_{\text{QFT}} \approx 0.03 (estimated from the UV completion) with the experimentally measured value (from micro-WEP tests).

Prediction: Lattice QCD calculations of the relevant scalar quark bilinear operator at several values of μ\mu can constrain this running and pin down CQFT(μQCD)C_{\text{QFT}}(\mu_{\text{QCD}}) to 5%\sim 5\% precision, providing an independent consistency check on the EME material dependence prediction.

3.3. Beta Function for λc\lambda_c (Coherence Length)

The coherence length λc\lambda_c is related to the effective mass mϕm_\phi of the scalar field by λc=/(mϕc)\lambda_c = \hbar / (m_\phi c). Its running is determined by the running of mϕ2m_\phi^2:

μdmϕ2dμ=κ28π2[mϕ2+Λ22emϕ2/Λ2]\mu \frac{d m_\phi^2}{d\mu} = \frac{\kappa^2}{8\pi^2} \left[ m_\phi^2 + \frac{\Lambda^2}{2} e^{-m_\phi^2/\Lambda^2} \right]

The first term is the standard scalar mass running; the second term is the finite threshold correction from the exponential regulator. For mϕΛm_\phi \ll \Lambda:

μdmϕ2dμκ2Λ216π2\mu \frac{d m_\phi^2}{d\mu} \approx \frac{\kappa^2 \Lambda^2}{16\pi^2}

This is a finite (not logarithmically divergent) threshold contribution. The total shift in mϕ2m_\phi^2 over the RG running from Λ\Lambda down to μexp\mu_{\text{exp}} is:

Δmϕ2κ2Λ216π2lnΛμexp(1010)2×(1010 eV)216π2×231.5×103 eV2\Delta m_\phi^2 \approx \frac{\kappa^2 \Lambda^2}{16\pi^2} \ln\frac{\Lambda}{\mu_{\text{exp}}} \approx \frac{(10^{-10})^2 \times (10^{10} \text{ eV})^2}{16\pi^2} \times 23 \approx 1.5 \times 10^{-3} \text{ eV}^2

Since mϕ2(mϕc2/c)2(1010 eV)2m_\phi^2 \sim (m_\phi c^2 / \hbar c)^2 \sim (10^{10} \text{ eV})^2, the fractional shift is:

Δmϕ2mϕ21.5×103 eV2(1010 eV)21023\frac{\Delta m_\phi^2}{m_\phi^2} \approx \frac{1.5 \times 10^{-3} \text{ eV}^2}{(10^{10} \text{ eV})^2} \approx 10^{-23}

Again negligible. The coherence length λc\lambda_c is radiatively stable across the entire EFT energy range.


4. Fixed-Point Analysis and UV Safety

4.1. Gaussian Fixed Point

Setting βκ=0\beta_\kappa = 0 in the one-loop result:

κ312π2=0    κ=0\frac{\kappa^3}{12\pi^2} = 0 \implies \kappa^* = 0

The Gaussian (non-interacting) fixed point at κ=0\kappa^* = 0 is the unique perturbative fixed point. The theory is asymptotically free in the gravitational sector in the sense that κ0\kappa \to 0 as μ\mu \to \infty, meaning the theory becomes weakly coupled at high energies. This is a desirable property: it confirms that there is no Landau pole and no strong-coupling problem within the EFT validity range.

4.2. Stability Matrix

The stability matrix Mij=βi/gjM_{ij} = \partial \beta_i / \partial g_j at the Gaussian fixed point has eigenvalues:

λκ=βκκκ=0=0\lambda_\kappa = \frac{\partial \beta_\kappa}{\partial \kappa}\bigg|_{\kappa=0} = 0

The zero eigenvalue indicates that κ\kappa is a marginal operator at the Gaussian fixed point — it neither grows nor shrinks under RG flow at leading order. This is consistent with the near-constancy of κ\kappa found in Section 3.1. The next-to-leading-order (two-loop) calculation would determine whether κ\kappa is marginally irrelevant (flows to zero in UV) or marginally relevant (grows in UV). Given the observed smallness of κ\kappa, the marginal-to-irrelevant scenario is favoured.

4.3. Asymptotic Safety Check

In the asymptotic safety (AS) scenario for quantum gravity (Weinberg 1979, Reuter 1998), gravity is non-perturbatively UV-complete at a non-Gaussian fixed point G0G^* \ne 0. For the MCE theory to be consistent with the AS programme, the MCE scalar field ϕ\phi must not destabilise the gravitational fixed point. The condition for this is that the scalar field anomalous dimension ηϕ\eta_\phi satisfies:

ηϕ<2\eta_\phi < 2

at the AS fixed point. Given that κ1.623×1010\kappa \approx 1.623 \times 10^{-10} C/kg corresponds to a dimensionless gravitational coupling GNmϕ2/(c)1G_N m_\phi^2 / (c \hbar) \ll 1, the contribution of ϕ\phi to the gravitational beta function is negligible, and the AS fixed point is not destabilised.


5. Symmetry Protections

5.1. Protection of κ\kappa by Diffeomorphism Invariance

The coupling κϕT\kappa \phi T is the unique scalar, diffeomorphism-invariant interaction between a scalar field and the matter sector (at lowest mass dimension). Diffeomorphism invariance prohibits a mass term for ϕ\phi in vacuum (where T=0T=0) — any such term would break the symmetry. This means the scalar field mass mϕ2m_\phi^2 is protected against additive renormalisation in the massless vacuum:

δmϕ2vac=0\delta m_\phi^2 \bigg|_{\text{vac}} = 0

Mass is generated only in the presence of matter (when T0T \ne 0), making mϕm_\phi a dynamically generated mass in the sense of chiral symmetry breaking. This protects λc=/(mϕc)\lambda_c = \hbar/(m_\phi c) against fine-tuning: the coherence length is not a small number that must be artificially maintained against large quantum corrections; it is determined by the local matter environment.

5.2. Protection of CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} by Isospin Symmetry

In the limit of exact isospin symmetry (mn=mpm_n = m_p, mu=mdm_u = m_d), the material-dependent factor δ(Z,A)\delta(Z,A) vanishes identically: the neutron and proton contribute equally to the QVP, and there is no Z/A-dependent asymmetry. The non-zero value of CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} is therefore protected to be proportional to the isospin-breaking parameters:

CQFTmdmuΛQCD(mnmp)QCDC_{\text{QFT}} \propto \frac{m_d - m_u}{\Lambda_{\text{QCD}}} \propto (m_n - m_p)_{\text{QCD}}

This connects CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} directly to well-measured isospin-breaking quantities. Lattice QCD calculations (e.g., Borsanyi et al. 2015) have determined mdmu2.7m_d - m_u \approx 2.7 MeV to within 5%\sim 5\%. The MCE prediction for CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} can therefore be independently computed from lattice data, providing a first-principles cross-check without free parameters.


6. Summary of RG Results

Parameter Beta Function Running (UV to IR) Stability
κ\kappa βκ=κ3/(12π2)\beta_\kappa = \kappa^3/(12\pi^2) Δκ/κ1024\Delta\kappa/\kappa \sim 10^{-24} Negligible. No Landau pole.
CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} βC=(αs/π)CQFT\beta_C = -(\alpha_s/\pi) C_{\text{QFT}} ΔC/C14%\Delta C/C \sim -14\% (QCD running) Significant, predictable. Constrainable by lattice QCD.
λc\lambda_c βλcκ2λc\beta_{\lambda_c} \propto \kappa^2 \lambda_c Δλc/λc1023\Delta\lambda_c/\lambda_c \sim 10^{-23} Negligible. Radiatively stable.
mϕm_\phi See λc\lambda_c Δmϕ2/mϕ21023\Delta m_\phi^2/m_\phi^2 \sim 10^{-23} Negligible. Diffeomorphism-protected.

Key conclusion: The MCE EFT parameters are radiatively stable. The gravitational coupling κ\kappa and coherence length λc\lambda_c do not run meaningfully over any experimentally accessible energy range. The material dependence coefficient CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} runs under QCD (as expected for a nuclear-physics parameter) and this running is predictable and constrain­able. The theory is internally consistent under quantum corrections and does not require fine-tuning to maintain its predictions.


7. Renormalisation Group Improved Predictions

Using the RG results, the MCE predictions for microscale WEP violation can be stated in an RG-improved form:

Δaaμ=μexp=Δaaμ=ΛEFT×(1+ΔCQFTCQFT)7×109×(10.14)6.0×109\frac{\Delta a}{a}\bigg|_{\mu = \mu_{\text{exp}}} = \frac{\Delta a}{a}\bigg|_{\mu = \Lambda_{\text{EFT}}} \times \left(1 + \frac{\Delta C_{\text{QFT}}}{C_{\text{QFT}}}\right) \approx 7 \times 10^{-9} \times (1 - 0.14) \approx 6.0 \times 10^{-9}

The RG-corrected prediction for the microscale Aluminium–Gold acceleration difference is:

ΔaaRG-improved6.0×109\frac{\Delta a}{a}\bigg|_{\text{RG-improved}} \approx 6.0 \times 10^{-9}

This 14% correction from QCD running of CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} is modest but non-trivial and should be included in any precision experimental comparison.


8. Lattice QCD Error Propagation: Full Uncertainty Budget

The MCE prediction for Δa/a\Delta a/a is not a point estimate — it carries a well-defined theoretical uncertainty budget that can be reduced with improved lattice QCD measurements. This section provides the full propagation.

8.1. Input Uncertainties (FLAG 2023 / PDG 2024)

Source Central value Uncertainty Relative error
mdmum_d - m_u (MS-bar, 2 GeV) 2.67 MeV ±0.22 MeV 8.2%
ΛQCD\Lambda_{\text{QCD}} (2+1+1 flavour average) 210 MeV ±15 MeV 7.1%
αs(mZ)\alpha_s(m_Z) (PDG 2024) 0.1179 ±0.0010 0.85%
Anomalous dimension γC\gamma_C (NLO) −2.0 ±0.2 (NLO correction) 10%

8.2. Propagation Formula

CQFTC_{\text{QFT}} depends on the isospin-breaking parameters via:

CQFT=ξmdmuΛQCDC_{\text{QFT}} = \xi \cdot \frac{m_d - m_u}{\Lambda_{\text{QCD}}}

where ξ\xi is a dimensionless loop integral fixed by the requirement CQFT(μQCD)=0.03C_{\text{QFT}}(\mu_{\text{QCD}}) = 0.03. The fractional uncertainty is:

σCQFTCQFT=(σΔmΔm)2+(σΛQCDΛQCD)2+(σγCln(ΛEFT/μQCD)2π/αs)2\frac{\sigma_{C_{\text{QFT}}}}{C_{\text{QFT}}} = \sqrt{ \left(\frac{\sigma_{\Delta m}}{\Delta m}\right)^2 + \left(\frac{\sigma_{\Lambda_{\text{QCD}}}}{\Lambda_{\text{QCD}}}\right)^2 + \left(\frac{\sigma_{\gamma_C} \ln(\Lambda_{\text{EFT}}/\mu_{\text{QCD}})}{2\pi / \alpha_s}\right)^2 }

Numerically:

σCQFTCQFT=(0.082)2+(0.071)2+(0.036)20.11411.4%\frac{\sigma_{C_{\text{QFT}}}}{C_{\text{QFT}}} = \sqrt{(0.082)^2 + (0.071)^2 + (0.036)^2} \approx 0.114 \approx 11.4\%

8.3. Error Budget by Source

Source Contribution to σCQFT/CQFT\sigma_{C_{\text{QFT}}}/C_{\text{QFT}} Reducible by Timeline
σ(mdmu)\sigma(m_d - m_u) lattice 8.2% (52% of variance) Improved lattice QCD with physical pion masses (MILC, BMW, RBC/UKQCD) 2026–2028
σ(ΛQCD)\sigma(\Lambda_{\text{QCD}}) 7.1% (39% of variance) Higher-order perturbative matching; more lattice ensembles 2026–2027
σ(αs)\sigma(\alpha_s) running 3.6% (9% of variance) LEP2 / future e+ee^+e^- collider >2030
Total 11.4%

8.4. Conservative Benchmark and λc\lambda_c Envelope

Two prediction layers should be distinguished clearly:

  1. The conservative benchmark used for pre-registration, defined by the lower-edge working choice λc=1\lambda_c = 1 μm
  2. The broader current theory envelope obtained by scanning the decoherence band λc[1,10]\lambda_c \in [1,10] μm at fixed experimental separation r=1r = 1 μm

The conservative benchmark is:

ΔaaAl–Au,r=1μm=(6.0±0.7)×109\boxed{ \frac{\Delta a}{a}\bigg|_{\text{Al–Au},\, r=1\,\mu\text{m}} = (6.0 \pm 0.7) \times 10^{-9} }

The broader current theory envelope at the same separation is:

Δaar=1μm1.63×108e1μm/λc,λc[1,10]μm\frac{\Delta a}{a}\bigg|_{r=1\,\mu\text{m}} \approx 1.63 \times 10^{-8} \, e^{-1\,\mu\text{m}/\lambda_c}, \qquad \lambda_c \in [1,10]\,\mu\text{m}

which yields

Δaar=1μm,λc[1,10]μm(6.014.8)×109\frac{\Delta a}{a}\bigg|_{r=1\,\mu\text{m},\, \lambda_c \in [1,10]\,\mu\text{m}} \approx (6.0\text{–}14.8) \times 10^{-9}

before the same 11.4% lattice-QCD uncertainty is applied multiplicatively.

The ±0.7 × 10⁻⁹ uncertainty in the benchmark point (1σ, theoretical) is dominated by lattice QCD uncertainty on the light quark mass difference mdmum_d - m_u. This uncertainty is expected to shrink to ±0.3 × 10⁻⁹ by 2028 with next-generation lattice calculations at the physical pion mass (BMW Collaboration roadmap), at which point the theoretical precision will be comparable to the planned experimental sensitivity.

8.5. Independence from Experiment: Pre-Registration Strategy

Because the conservative benchmark is derived entirely from:

  1. The MCE theoretical framework (published)
  2. Lattice QCD inputs (independently published, FLAG 2023)
  3. The QCD running calculation (calculable from first principles)

...the prediction (6.0±0.7)×109(6.0 \pm 0.7) \times 10^{-9} can be pre-registered on arXiv before any microscale WEP experiment is performed. Pre-registration eliminates any possibility of post-hoc adjustment and demonstrates that the benchmark is genuine, not retrospective. To handle the known decoherence ambiguity cleanly, the pre-registration should also state the explicit companion scan

λc[1,10]μmΔaa(r=1μm)(6.014.8)×109\lambda_c \in [1,10]\,\mu\text{m} \quad \Longrightarrow \quad \frac{\Delta a}{a}(r=1\,\mu\text{m}) \approx (6.0\text{–}14.8) \times 10^{-9}

before lattice uncertainty is applied. The code implementing the benchmark and band calculation is provided in scripts/rg_running.py.

8.6. Sensitivity to Future Lattice Improvements

The following table shows how the MCE prediction tightens as lattice QCD improves:

Scenario σ(mdmu)\sigma(m_d - m_u) σCQFT/CQFT\sigma_{C_{\text{QFT}}}/C_{\text{QFT}} σ(Δa/a)\sigma(\Delta a/a)
Current (FLAG 2023) ±0.22 MeV 11.4% ±0.7 × 10⁻⁹
Near-term (2027) ±0.10 MeV 7.2% ±0.4 × 10⁻⁹
Future (2030) ±0.05 MeV 5.5% ±0.3 × 10⁻⁹

By the time an atom interferometry experiment achieves the required sensitivity, the theoretical prediction will be known to better than 5%, making it a meaningful comparison rather than a floating target.